Walter W. Piegorsch

University of South Carolina


Hierarchical Statistical Modeling in Environmental Toxicology

Hierarchical modeling is a growing area of interest in the environmental sciences. In modern environmental toxicology, elaborate experiment designs and complex assay systems are in place, and others are under development, where hierarchical effects play important roles. Endpoints observed in these systems increasingly exhibit the kind of complexity that calls for hierarchical perspectives. Any statistical modeling and data analytic efforts involving such data must build these hierarchical effects into their base structure. This presentation considers a series of different toxicological examples where a particular hierarchical model seems pertinent. Emphasis is on development of relevant models; specific methods for performing the actual statistical analysis and associated inferences will be of secondary interest. The examples include (i) hierarchical Poisson regression for clustered count data, (ii) normal and non-normal hierarchical models for use in meta-analyses/data combination of carcinogenic potency estimates, and (ii) a regression model for proportion data based on hierarchical exponential assumptions that lead to dual dose-response and (nuisance) correlation functions. In the latter example, a question for discussion will be how to assess a dose effect due to the environmental exposure using one or both of the two functions.


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