Edsel Peña

Department of Statistics

University of South Carolina


Goodness-of-Fit Tests with Right-Censored Data

The use of intensity processes or hazard functions is a natural and convenient way of specifying failure-time models arising in engineering and reliability life-testing studies, medical or clinical trials, actuarial settings, and in economic situations. It is typical in such studies, where the primary outcome variable is the time to occurrence of an event, to have data with truncated and/or censored observations. Two problems of interest in these situations are to develop goodness-of-fit procedures and to develop methods for validating the assumed model. In this talk I will describe a general approach in constructing a class of goodness-of-fit tests for these intensity or hazard-based models in the presence of incomplete data. The resulting procedures possess optimality properties and includes as special cases generalizations of tests used with complete data, in particular, a generalization of Pearson's classical chi-square test. The test statistics depend on generalized residuals, and the theoretical developments of the procedures reveal certain properties of these residuals. The results shed light on the validity of existing and ad hoc model validation methods based on these generalized residuals.


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