Statistical Inferences by Perturbing Estimating Function or Minimand

 

L.J. Wei

 

Harvard University

 

Suppose that inferences for θ0 (finite- or infinite-dimensional parameter) to be made is based on an asymptotically pivotal estimating function SX (θ), where X is the observable random quantity.   That is, the asymptotic distribution of SX  (θ0) can be approximated well by the distribution of a random quantity of Z, which is free of any unknown parameter. Let X be the consistent estimator for θ0 based on the estimating function SX (θ).  The controversial Fisher’s fiducial distribution of  θ can be generated by the random quantity Ө, where Sx (Ө) = Z and x is the observed X.  It turns out that the fiducial distribution of θ can be used to approximate the distribution of X well.  That is, the distribution of (Xθ0) can be approximated by the conditional (on the data) distribution of (Ө- x ).  In this talk, we will discuss how this works especially when the estimating function is not smooth in θ with several examples.  We will also discuss other types of perturbation methods for estimating functions or minimands to make inferences about θ0.